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Webwatch
July 2004
Does drug X cure ITP? At least one of the Association's medical advisors
was heard to say that he did not recognise the concept of a "cure"
so how can this question ever be answered? If if no such thing as a "cure"
exists, how can the effectiveness of a treatment be measured?
One of the problems with ITP is that it is not very common. As a result,
there is not a great deal of research into its causes and treatment, (but
of course the Association is working to change that). Yet if there was
more research, the interpretation of results is not easy even for highly
trained individuals, statistics from trials being an especially tricky
area. The problem is that a belief can hide reality and once this has
happened, people take sides and controversy follows. Take as an example
the famous double Nobel Prize laureate, Linus Pauling. He said "Everyone
should know that most cancer research is largely a fraud and that the
major cancer research organisations are derelict in their duties to the
people who support them". For most of his life he advocated very
high doses of Vitamin C as a preventative and treatment for cancer. It
must have been even more sad for him when his wife died of cancer even
after years on his chosen regime. It seems his belief in Vitamin C was
still strong at the age of 93 shortly before he died. An interesting interview
with him is available at members.aol.com/realmedia/pauling.html. You can
then draw your own conclusions on his views of Vitamin C. As I have said
before in webwatch, one has to look at who publishes material before you
can trust it but sites such as www.quackwatch.org are at the very least
interesting, not least their article on Linus Pauling at www.quackwatch.org/01QuackeryRelatedTopics/pauling.html
Statistics are not my line but I understand enough to realise the assertion
"there are lies, dammed lies and statistics" is very true. This
famous quote has a double meaning however. It is usually attributed to
Benjamin Disraeli, British Prime Minister, but the only reference to it
is in Mark Twain's writing. No evidence exists to show Disraeli ever said
it, just another case of a belief overruling evidence. Disraeli is quoted
everywhere but he did not say it, any more than Churchill used the phrase
"blood sweat and tears". In his often played speech he said
"blood toil tears and sweat" but who would believe you? Everyone
"knows" what he said.
There is an interesting site about statistics and statistical trials
at
www.isixsigma.com/library/content/c040412a.asp.
They say "Before the first research question is formulated, researchers
must clarify the aims of their study. Until that is done, there is little
chance that a proper format for analysis can be constructed." It
is often not clear what is to be expected from a trial so it is no wonder
that some trials are misinterpreted and this misinterpretion made public.
Another interesting site at www.practicalhippie.com/cache/science/conflict.htm
(link has died since publication) continues the claim that drug
trials are biased, you should of course make up your own mind. There is
an association to promote ethical trials, see www.ahrp.org/infomail/04/06/20.html
For a useful glossary of terms used in such trials, the site at
www.webmd.com/a-to-z-guides/glossary-terms-used-clinical-trials
(link updated since publication) is quite good.
The controversy over drug trials will never end but at least the internet
provides access to more information than we ever had before.
Happy surfing
Howard
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